| Ticker | Shares | Avg | P/L |
|---|
ENTER — Golden Cross + RSI < 65 (25% of cash): The Golden Cross (MA50 crosses above MA200) signals a confirmed long-term trend shift. Waiting for RSI below 65 avoids buying into an already-stretched move. Sizing at 25% means you have room to add — you never go all-in on the first signal.
ADD — RSI bounce from oversold in uptrend (15% of cash): If you are already in a trend and the stock pulls back to oversold (RSI < 30) while MA200 is still rising, adding to the position is justified. This is buying a discount inside a confirmed uptrend — the highest-probability setup in trend following.
TRIM — RSI > 75 (sell half the position): Not an exit. When momentum is extreme, reduce size to lock in profit and free up cash for the next opportunity. Trimming half keeps you in the trend while protecting gains. Most retail traders do the opposite: they hold too long and give it all back.
EXIT — Death Cross OR price 8% below MA200: The Death Cross (MA50 crosses below MA200) is the long-term trend reversal signal. The 8% MA200 filter catches breakdowns before the cross confirms. Either condition means: the thesis is broken. Exit cleanly. Capital preservation is Rule 1.
Envelope protection — 15% drawdown closes everything: The most important rule of all. If the portfolio falls 15% from its peak, all positions are closed and the system disengages. This prevents the autopilot from riding a crash to zero. It also teaches the hardest lesson: knowing when to stop is more valuable than any entry signal.
Modes: TREND (uptrend, rules active) | DEFENSIVE (below MA200, size reduced) | GROUNDED (envelope triggered, cash only). Position cap: 50% per ticker. Cooldown: 5 days between trades on the same instrument.
Green border — ENTER: new position opened.
Blue border — ADD: existing position increased.
Gold border — TRIM: half position sold to lock in profit.
Red border — EXIT: full position closed.
Purple border — SKIP: signal fired but Smart Filter rejected it (win rate < 50%).
Every trade you make — and the reason you gave — is recorded here. The AI Review reads your last 14 days and looks for patterns.
Fires = how many times this signal triggered in the data. Fewer than 5 fires = not enough data to draw conclusions. Do not trade a signal with 2 fires.
Win% = percentage of fires where the price was higher 30 days later. Above 60% = a real edge exists. Below 40% = the signal has historically been wrong more than right — consider fading it.
Avg = average return 30 trading days after the signal. A signal with 60% win rate and +3% avg is far more useful than one with 80% win rate and +0.1% avg.
The key lesson: most signals you see on the internet have never been tested on real data. This table shows you the truth for your specific instruments. Use it before you trust any signal.
Re-live a market crash day-by-day with no hindsight allowed. The chart shows only what was visible at the time. Step forward one day at a time — exactly as a trader living through it would have. Use the Journal to record what you would have done, then compare to what actually happened.
The purpose is not to predict. It is to understand how crashes feel from the inside — the false recoveries, the disbelief, the panic, the capitulation. You cannot learn this from a chart that already shows the bottom. Live data loads automatically on startup.
Six structured lessons using the live chart as your textbook. No videos. No paywalls. No gurus. Each lesson is designed to be completed while looking at real or synthetic data — the theory and the practice happen simultaneously.
Mark a lesson complete only when you can explain the concept to someone else. Understanding is measured by teaching, not by reading.
Every instrument ranked by typical daily volatility — from the calmest blue-chip to the most explosive crypto. Use this table to calibrate your position sizing: the more volatile the instrument, the smaller your position must be to stay within the 2% risk rule.
Daily-return correlations across all instruments — computed from the last 252 synthetic trading days. Green = positive (move together). Red = negative (move opposite). The deeper the colour, the stronger the relationship.